The single sentence
The Everything Code rests on one claim that most market comments quietly avoid: the debasement of currency — the quiet, constant expansion of official money — is the dominant force behind modern asset prices. Not earnings, not narratives, not a single Fed meeting. The money itself, being diluted over time, is what lifts everything that is denominated in it.
If that is true, then the market is not a thousand independent stories. It is one story with a thousand proxies. That is exactly what makes it usable for a normal person: you no longer need to track every sector. You need to understand the one force and read the market as its expression.
Call it “the biggest macro trade of all time” if you like. The practical consequence is calm, not hype: a single, cyclical, forecastable driver means a simple process beats a thousand opinions. That is the whole point of the Everything Code.
The formula underneath
Strip the jargon away and the Everything Code is built on an identity about where growth comes from. A healthy economy grows three ways: more people, more productivity, or more debt. When the first two slow down and the debt keeps growing, the gap has to be filled. It gets filled with money.
Watch what happens across decades: population flattens, technology-driven productivity is real but uneven, and debt rises relentlessly. The only growing term is debt. So the system increasingly relies on expanding credit and the money supply to service existing obligations. That is the debasement engine — and it is structural, not accidental.
The numbers that make it stick
The clearest expression of the thesis is an empirical observation about what actually drives each asset class. Put bluntly: liquidity explains the overwhelming majority of Bitcoin's short-run moves — roughly 90% — and an even larger share of a broad tech index like the NASDAQ, on the order of 95%.
Read that line twice, because it changes everything about how you think about a chart. If nine-tenths of the move has one cause, then most of the daily commentary is describing the effect, not the cause. Flows, headlines, momentum, sentiment — those are the symptoms. The driver is the liquidity position underneath them.
It is not a prediction tool — it is a focus tool. It says: stop trying to explain Bitcoin from a thousand angles. Track the money side — M2, credit, the direction of the rate cycle — and roughly nine-tenths of the story is right there. The remaining 10–5% is the part where individual narratives and positioning matter.
The two-phase cycle
The Everything Code treats the debt/liquidity system as a two-phase machine, and recognizing which phase you are in is the skill:
| Phase | What is happening | Market signature |
|---|---|---|
| Phase 1 — Refinancing | Existing debt must be rolled over. Rates are the constraint: refinancing only works when they come down. | Credit is defensive. Rates are falling. Risk assets are still weak — the setup, not the payoff. |
| Phase 2 — Debasement | Rates are lower, the balance sheet can expand, and the system resumes diluting currency to fund the debt. | Liquidity returns. Risk assets re-rate hard — this is where the “90% / 95%” kicks in. |
Most of the pain in a market comes from trading the effect while sitting in the wrong phase. If you can say which phase you are in, you stop mistaking a Phase 1 setup for a Phase 2 payoff — and you stop mistaking a Phase 2 top for a beginning.
What it does to a portfolio
This is the part that connects directly to the Bitcoin track of this Learning Environment. If there is effectively one dominant macro factor, then the logic of broad, undifferentiated diversification weakens. When a single force dominates, concentrated positioning — the best expression of that force — beats a diversified basket that dilutes exposure to it.
That is the thesis behind a barbell: a core that holds the monetary bet (Bitcoin and, as the platform/bett layer, the major layer-1 networks), plus a smaller speculative sleeve for the applications riding on top. The Everything Code is the why. The 90/10 sizing is the how. See the Bitcoin · Apply page for the process around it.
Everything described here is a framework, not a forecast. Cycles are forecastable in direction and roughly shape, not in exact timing. The value of the Everything Code is that it gives you a single, checkable thing to watch — the money side — instead of a hundred things to believe.
Next steps
Learning content. This is not investment advice. Sourced from Raoul Pal, Anthony Pompliano, Jordi Visser, Peter Diamandis & Bankless. The World is Spinning Faster Than Before is an educational project.